Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.044479 0.048501 0.052585 0.057035 0.061741 0.066561 0.071866
2025-03-09 0.037155 0.042924 0.049008 0.055877 0.063389 0.071327 0.080324
2025-03-16 0.033329 0.040505 0.048325 0.057419 0.067638 0.078709 0.091546
2025-03-23 0.029883 0.038075 0.047276 0.058262 0.070909 0.084902 0.101444
2025-03-30 0.026969 0.035922 0.046262 0.058908 0.073778 0.090536 0.110675
2025-04-06 0.024067 0.033490 0.044672 0.058663 0.075444 0.094677 0.118137
2025-04-13 0.022443 0.032444 0.044594 0.060091 0.078985 0.100942 0.128049
2025-04-20 0.020083 0.030265 0.042950 0.059462 0.079941 0.104080 0.134245
2025-04-27 0.018431 0.028857 0.042144 0.059758 0.081933 0.108393 0.141807
2025-05-04 0.017318 0.028066 0.042046 0.060873 0.084887 0.113843 0.150734
2025-05-11 0.016651 0.027820 0.042608 0.062800 0.088840 0.120520 0.161184
2025-05-18 0.014483 0.025313 0.040032 0.060531 0.087384 0.120464 0.163365
2025-05-25 0.013004 0.023714 0.038627 0.059772 0.087864 0.122856 0.168652
2025-06-01 0.011764 0.022373 0.037499 0.059318 0.088697 0.125672 0.174475
2025-06-08 0.011398 0.022332 0.038183 0.061324 0.092770 0.132624 0.185528
2025-06-15 0.010789 0.021865 0.038223 0.062421 0.095633 0.138050 0.194704
2025-06-22 0.010143 0.021288 0.038063 0.063212 0.098076 0.142942 0.203231
2025-06-29 0.009288 0.020297 0.037235 0.063014 0.099153 0.146052 0.209496
2025-07-06 0.008940 0.020132 0.037627 0.064545 0.102585 0.152246 0.219744
2025-07-13 0.008094 0.019038 0.036546 0.063901 0.102995 0.154459 0.224869
2025-07-20 0.007538 0.018410 0.036147 0.064221 0.104719 0.158398 0.232233
2025-07-27 0.007211 0.018170 0.036338 0.065399 0.107635 0.163926 0.241686
2025-08-03 0.007081 0.018286 0.037095 0.067426 0.111763 0.171100 0.253334